Aberystwyth vs Pure Swansea

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Aberystwyth

Pure Swansea

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% 2.35 DRAW 24.8% 3.75 AWAY 35.6% 2.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pure Swansea

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aberystwyth Pure Swansea

Shots 16.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 19.3 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aberystwyth Pure Swansea

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aberystwyth Pure Swansea

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Aberystwyth = (0.0%)

Pure Swansea ↑ +0.24 (+9.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.