Wales Championship South · GB

Baglan Dragons vs Caerphilly Athletic

31 Aug 2026 · 15:30

MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 40.2%

Draw 25.8%

Away 34.1%

Consensus based on 2 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 6.1 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Baglan Dragons Caerphilly Athletic

Shots 4.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Caerphilly Athletic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Baglan Dragons Caerphilly Athletic

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Caerphilly Athletic has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Baglan Dragons Caerphilly Athletic

The combined recent performance profile favours Caerphilly Athletic.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Baglan Dragons ↓ -0.69 (-23.0%)

Caerphilly Athletic ↑ +0.70 (+35.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -0.624

Shot rating -12

Shots-on-target rating -11

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market and recent performance do not provide a clear common direction.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.