Schalke vs Elversberg

20 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Schalke

Elversberg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 24.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% 2.00 DRAW 25.3% 3.90 AWAY 25.5% 3.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Schalke

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Schalke Elversberg

Shots 14.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Schalke, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Schalke Elversberg

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Elversberg has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Schalke Elversberg

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Schalke ↓ -0.09 (-4.3%)

Elversberg ↑ +0.17 (+4.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.