Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg

06 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

Eintracht Frankfurt

Augsburg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.1% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 22.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% 1.95 DRAW 23.6% 4.17 AWAY 25.9% 3.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Eintracht Frankfurt clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.1% win probability, compared with 50.4% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Eintracht Frankfurt

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Eintracht Frankfurt Augsburg

Shots 19.8 · On target 9.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Eintracht Frankfurt, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Eintracht Frankfurt Augsburg

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Eintracht Frankfurt Augsburg

The combined recent performance profile favours Eintracht Frankfurt.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Eintracht Frankfurt ↓ -0.03 (-1.3%)

Augsburg ↑ +0.13 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.