Sporting B vs Lusitania Lourosa

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Sporting B

Lusitania Lourosa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% DRAW 31.4% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.9% 2.13 DRAW 30.9% 3.10 AWAY 24.2% 3.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lusitania Lourosa

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting B Lusitania Lourosa

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting B Lusitania Lourosa

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting B Lusitania Lourosa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sporting B ↓ -0.10 (-4.5%)

Lusitania Lourosa ↑ +0.11 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.