Portugal Primeira Liga · PT

Benfica vs Estoril

31 Aug 2026 · 21:15

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 85.5%

Draw 9.2%

Away 5.3%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 76.2 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Benfica Estoril

Shots 22.5 · On target 8.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Benfica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Benfica Estoril

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Benfica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Benfica Estoril

The combined recent performance profile favours Benfica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Benfica ↓ -0.05 (-4.3%)

Estoril ↑ +7.02 (+46.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.902

Shot rating 53

Shots-on-target rating 16

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.