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Portugal Primeira Liga · PT

Famalicao vs Gil Vicente

30 Aug 2026 · 21:30
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 49.8%
Draw 29.1%
Away 21.1%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 20.7 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Famalicao

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Famalicao Gil Vicente
Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Famalicao, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Famalicao Gil Vicente
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Famalicao Gil Vicente

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Famalicao ↓ -0.17 (-8.2%)
Gil Vicente ↑ +0.84 (+21.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.188
Shot rating 14
Shots-on-target rating 3
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.