SC Kalsdorf vs SV Tillmitsch

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

SC Kalsdorf

SV Tillmitsch

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.9% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 15.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.3% 1.57 DRAW 21.5% 4.40 AWAY 18.2% 5.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SC Kalsdorf clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.9% win probability, compared with 60.3% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SC Kalsdorf has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Kalsdorf SV Tillmitsch

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours SC Kalsdorf, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Kalsdorf SV Tillmitsch

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.8

SC Kalsdorf has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Kalsdorf SV Tillmitsch

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Kalsdorf.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

SC Kalsdorf ↓ -0.16 (-9.0%)

SV Tillmitsch ↑ +1.72 (+49.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.