ATSV Wolfsberg vs SVG Bleiburg

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

ATSV Wolfsberg

SVG Bleiburg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 39.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.41 DRAW 22.5% 4.10 AWAY 39.3% 2.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SVG Bleiburg

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ATSV Wolfsberg SVG Bleiburg

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours SVG Bleiburg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ATSV Wolfsberg SVG Bleiburg

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ATSV Wolfsberg SVG Bleiburg

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

ATSV Wolfsberg ↓ -0.19 (-7.3%)

SVG Bleiburg ↑ +0.24 (+11.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.