SV Grodig vs OTSU Hallein

04 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

SV Grodig

OTSU Hallein

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.3% DRAW 19.4% AWAY 16.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% 1.55 DRAW 20.9% 4.55 AWAY 17.8% 5.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SV Grodig relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.3% win probability, compared with 61.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: OTSU Hallein

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Grodig OTSU Hallein

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours OTSU Hallein, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Grodig OTSU Hallein

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0

SV Grodig has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Grodig OTSU Hallein

The combined recent performance profile favours SV Grodig.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

SV Grodig ↓ -0.20 (-11.4%)

OTSU Hallein ↑ +1.93 (+56.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.