Ruthin Town FC vs Penrhyncoch

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.4 pp

Ruthin Town FC

Penrhyncoch

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.5% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% 2.23 DRAW 24.1% 3.81 AWAY 34.8% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Ruthin Town FC substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.5% win probability, compared with 41.1% implied by the market. The 7.4 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ruthin Town FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ruthin Town FC Penrhyncoch

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 3.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Ruthin Town FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ruthin Town FC Penrhyncoch

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 8.5

Ruthin Town FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ruthin Town FC Penrhyncoch

The combined recent performance profile favours Ruthin Town FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ruthin Town FC ↑ +0.50 (+29.1%)

Penrhyncoch ↓ -0.87 (-24.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.