Cacereno vs Cultural Leonesa

13 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Cacereno

Cultural Leonesa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 40.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% 3.00 DRAW 28.5% 3.36 AWAY 39.6% 2.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cultural Leonesa

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cacereno Cultural Leonesa

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Cultural Leonesa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cacereno Cultural Leonesa

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cacereno Cultural Leonesa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Cacereno ↓ -0.42 (-12.3%)

Cultural Leonesa ↑ +0.33 (+15.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.