Zamora CF vs UD Logrones

06 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Zamora CF

UD Logrones

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.21 DRAW 31.1% 3.15 AWAY 24.5% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

UD Logrones has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zamora CF UD Logrones

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours UD Logrones, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zamora CF UD Logrones

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zamora CF UD Logrones

The combined recent performance profile favours UD Logrones.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Zamora CF ↑ +0.15 (+7.3%)

UD Logrones ↑ +0.60 (+17.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.