← Match Center
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · ES

Cultural Leonesa vs Pontevedra

24 Oct 2026 · 21:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Cultural Leonesa. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. They have generated considerably more attempts than they have conceded.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. They have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.00 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.00. At this price, a home win for Cultural Leonesa does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Cultural Leonesa
STOCHASTICBET 49.9%
PINNACLE 46.4% odd 2.00
DIFFERENCE +3.5 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 31.8%
PINNACLE 32.8% odd 2.83
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
AWAY
Pontevedra
STOCHASTICBET 18.3%
PINNACLE 20.8% odd 4.45
DIFFERENCE -2.6 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 24 Oct 2026 · 20:31
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Cultural Leonesa

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Cultural Leonesa Pontevedra
Shots 16.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Cultural Leonesa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Cultural Leonesa Pontevedra
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Pontevedra has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Cultural Leonesa Pontevedra

The combined recent performance profile favours Cultural Leonesa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 124 matches with scores · 121 with shots · coverage 97.6%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Cultural Leonesa6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DWLDWL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
Pontevedra6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WLLDDL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Cultural LeonesaHome team
+3.914.0 actual
PontevedraAway team
−4.85.8 actual
Cultural Leonesa: 14.0 · league average 10.1 · 6 valid matchesPontevedra: 5.8 · league average 10.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Cultural LeonesaHome team
−1.39.3 actual
PontevedraAway team
−0.99.2 actual
Cultural Leonesa: 9.3 · league average 10.6 · 6 valid matchesPontevedra: 9.2 · league average 10.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Cultural LeonesaHome team
+0.74.5 actual
PontevedraAway team
−2.61.5 actual
Cultural Leonesa: 4.5 · league average 3.8 · 6 valid matchesPontevedra: 1.5 · league average 4.1 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Cultural LeonesaHome team
−0.14.0 actual
PontevedraAway team
+0.34.2 actual
Cultural Leonesa: 4.0 · league average 4.1 · 6 valid matchesPontevedra: 4.2 · league average 3.8 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Cultural LeonesaHome team
+0.051.33 actual
PontevedraAway team
−0.550.83 actual
Cultural Leonesa: 1.33 · league average 1.28 · 6 valid matchesPontevedra: 0.83 · league average 1.38 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Cultural LeonesaHome team
−3.0 pp9.5% actual
PontevedraAway team
+1.4 pp14.3% actual
Cultural Leonesa: 9.5% · league average 12.5% · 6 valid matchesPontevedra: 14.3% · league average 12.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Cultural LeonesaHome team
−0.4 pp12.5% actual
PontevedraAway team
+3.9 pp16.4% actual
Cultural Leonesa: 12.5% · league average 12.9% · 6 valid matchesPontevedra: 16.4% · league average 12.5% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Cultural Leonesa · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away1–112 / 155 / 5
12/10/2026Home4–118 / 149 / 8
03/10/2026Away0–220 / 84 / 4
26/09/2026Home2–214 / 64 / 3
20/09/2026Away1–09 / 74 / 2
13/09/2026Away0–111 / 61 / 2
Pontevedra · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home1–02 / 01 / 0
11/10/2026Home1–22 / 82 / 6
03/10/2026Away0–27 / 140 / 5
27/09/2026Home1–18 / 142 / 2
18/09/2026Away1–110 / 102 / 5
12/09/2026Home1–36 / 92 / 7

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.