SC Landskron vs TSV Grafenstein

13 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

SC Landskron

TSV Grafenstein

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 41.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% 2.44 DRAW 23.4% 4.00 AWAY 38.2% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for TSV Grafenstein relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.5% win probability, compared with 38.2% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

TSV Grafenstein has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Landskron TSV Grafenstein

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours TSV Grafenstein, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Landskron TSV Grafenstein

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.5

TSV Grafenstein has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Landskron TSV Grafenstein

The combined recent performance profile favours TSV Grafenstein.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

SC Landskron ↑ +0.19 (+8.4%)

TSV Grafenstein ↑ +0.05 (+2.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.