SC Poltava vs Ingulets Petrovo

04 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

SC Poltava

Ingulets Petrovo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.5% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 22.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.7% 1.81 DRAW 25.5% 3.60 AWAY 23.8% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: SC Poltava

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Poltava Ingulets Petrovo

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Poltava Ingulets Petrovo

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

SC Poltava has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Poltava Ingulets Petrovo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SC Poltava ↑ +0.06 (+3.4%)

Ingulets Petrovo ↓ -0.05 (-1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.