Ilzer SV vs SV Pachern

15 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Ilzer SV

SV Pachern

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.0% DRAW 14.5% AWAY 7.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.0% 1.25 DRAW 15.4% 6.25 AWAY 7.6% 12.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ilzer SV has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ilzer SV SV Pachern

Shots 10.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Ilzer SV, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ilzer SV SV Pachern

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ilzer SV SV Pachern

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ilzer SV ↑ +0.13 (+11.1%)

SV Pachern ↓ -2.40 (-16.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.