UFC Fehring vs SV Pachern

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

UFC Fehring

SV Pachern

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 29.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% 1.93 DRAW 24.4% 3.75 AWAY 28.2% 3.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SV Pachern

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UFC Fehring SV Pachern

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours SV Pachern, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UFC Fehring SV Pachern

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UFC Fehring SV Pachern

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UFC Fehring ↑ +0.03 (+1.3%)

SV Pachern ↑ +0.16 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.