UFC Fehring vs Grossklein

15 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

UFC Fehring

Grossklein

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.4% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 47.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% 2.98 DRAW 23.0% 4.07 AWAY 45.6% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: UFC Fehring

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UFC Fehring Grossklein

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours UFC Fehring, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UFC Fehring Grossklein

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Grossklein has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UFC Fehring Grossklein

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

UFC Fehring ↑ +0.83 (+38.5%)

Grossklein ↓ -0.45 (-18.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.