SV Spittal/Drau vs Launsdorf

04 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

SV Spittal/Drau

Launsdorf

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.6% DRAW 20.2% AWAY 52.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.1% 3.04 DRAW 21.7% 4.23 AWAY 48.2% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Launsdorf relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.1% win probability, compared with 48.2% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Launsdorf has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Spittal/Drau Launsdorf

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Launsdorf, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Spittal/Drau Launsdorf

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Launsdorf has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Spittal/Drau Launsdorf

The combined recent performance profile favours Launsdorf.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

SV Spittal/Drau ↓ -1.29 (-29.8%)

Launsdorf ↑ +0.40 (+26.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.