Viktoria Plzen B (W) vs Pardubice (W)

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Viktoria Plzen B (W)

Pardubice (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.5% DRAW 13.4% AWAY 79.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 8.4% 11.00 DRAW 14.8% 6.25 AWAY 76.9% 1.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Pardubice (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Viktoria Plzen B (W) Pardubice (W)

Shots 1.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Pardubice (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Viktoria Plzen B (W) Pardubice (W)

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Pardubice (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Viktoria Plzen B (W) Pardubice (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Pardubice (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Viktoria Plzen B (W) ↑ +1.50 (+15.8%)

Pardubice (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.