Sparta Praha II (W) vs Hradec Kralove (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Sparta Praha II (W)

Hradec Kralove (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.4% DRAW 17.5% AWAY 17.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.2% 1.45 DRAW 18.6% 5.00 AWAY 17.2% 5.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sparta Praha II (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Praha II (W) Hradec Kralove (W)

Shots 12.8 · On target 7.5 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Sparta Praha II (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Praha II (W) Hradec Kralove (W)

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3

Hradec Kralove (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Praha II (W) Hradec Kralove (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sparta Praha II (W) ↓ -0.02 (-1.4%)

Hradec Kralove (W) ↑ +0.47 (+9.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.