Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

09 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Levski Sofia

CSKA Sofia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% 1.95 DRAW 28.6% 3.35 AWAY 22.1% 4.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CSKA Sofia

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 16.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours CSKA Sofia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Levski Sofia ↓ -0.49 (-20.1%)

CSKA Sofia ↑ +1.39 (+47.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.