Trinec vs MFK Karvina

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Trinec

MFK Karvina

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.1% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 59.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.5% 5.00 DRAW 22.8% 4.06 AWAY 58.7% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: MFK Karvina

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Trinec MFK Karvina

Shots 16.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Trinec MFK Karvina

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

MFK Karvina has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Trinec MFK Karvina

The combined recent performance profile favours MFK Karvina.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Trinec ↑ +0.77 (+18.1%)

MFK Karvina ↓ -0.18 (-10.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.