RAEC Mons vs Tubize

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

RAEC Mons

Tubize

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 18.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% 1.75 DRAW 25.3% 3.69 AWAY 21.2% 4.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates RAEC Mons clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.6% win probability, compared with 53.4% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: RAEC Mons

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

RAEC Mons Tubize

Shots 13.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours RAEC Mons, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RAEC Mons Tubize

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

RAEC Mons has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RAEC Mons Tubize

The combined recent performance profile favours RAEC Mons.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

RAEC Mons ↓ -0.01 (-0.6%)

Tubize ↑ +0.38 (+9.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.