ROC Charleroi vs Union Saint Gilloise II

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

ROC Charleroi

Union Saint Gilloise II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.5% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 24.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% 1.73 DRAW 24.5% 3.80 AWAY 21.7% 4.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Union Saint Gilloise II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.9% win probability, compared with 21.7% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Union Saint Gilloise II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ROC Charleroi Union Saint Gilloise II

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Union Saint Gilloise II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ROC Charleroi Union Saint Gilloise II

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Union Saint Gilloise II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ROC Charleroi Union Saint Gilloise II

The combined recent performance profile favours Union Saint Gilloise II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ROC Charleroi ↑ +0.03 (+1.7%)

Union Saint Gilloise II ↑ +0.10 (+2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.