Tubize vs Union Saint Gilloise II

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +6.0 pp

Tubize

Union Saint Gilloise II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% 2.15 DRAW 27.0% 3.50 AWAY 29.1% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Union Saint Gilloise II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.0% win probability, compared with 29.1% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Union Saint Gilloise II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tubize Union Saint Gilloise II

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Union Saint Gilloise II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tubize Union Saint Gilloise II

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Union Saint Gilloise II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tubize Union Saint Gilloise II

The combined recent performance profile favours Union Saint Gilloise II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tubize ↑ +0.42 (+24.3%)

Union Saint Gilloise II ↓ -0.60 (-15.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.