RWD Molenbeek vs Sporting Charleroi U23

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

RWD Molenbeek

Sporting Charleroi U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.3% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 20.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% 1.69 DRAW 23.8% 3.95 AWAY 20.5% 4.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

RWD Molenbeek Sporting Charleroi U23

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours RWD Molenbeek, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RWD Molenbeek Sporting Charleroi U23

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RWD Molenbeek Sporting Charleroi U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

RWD Molenbeek ↑ +0.09 (+5.7%)

Sporting Charleroi U23 ↓ -0.30 (-6.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.