Veles vs PFC Sochi

14 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Veles

PFC Sochi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.4% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 46.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.3% 4.17 DRAW 28.6% 3.40 AWAY 48.1% 2.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PFC Sochi

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Veles PFC Sochi

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Veles PFC Sochi

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Veles has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Veles PFC Sochi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Veles ↑ +0.49 (+13.1%)

PFC Sochi ↓ -0.06 (-3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.