FK Spartak Kostroma vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

14 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

FK Spartak Kostroma

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 20.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.1% 1.74 DRAW 26.0% 3.70 AWAY 18.9% 5.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Spartak Kostroma Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Spartak Kostroma Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Spartak Kostroma Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Spartak Kostroma ↑ +0.08 (+5.1%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk ↓ -0.37 (-6.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.