Kochi United vs V-Varen Nagasaki

09 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Kochi United

V-Varen Nagasaki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.7% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 59.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.5% 5.50 DRAW 22.9% 4.20 AWAY 59.7% 1.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: V-Varen Nagasaki

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kochi United V-Varen Nagasaki

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours V-Varen Nagasaki, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kochi United V-Varen Nagasaki

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kochi United V-Varen Nagasaki

The combined recent performance profile favours V-Varen Nagasaki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kochi United ↑ +0.25 (+4.8%)

V-Varen Nagasaki ↑ +0.14 (+9.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.