Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF Utd Chiba

09 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Kamatamare Sanuki

JEF Utd Chiba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.7% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 56.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.2% 5.25 DRAW 23.8% 4.00 AWAY 58.0% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kamatamare Sanuki

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kamatamare Sanuki JEF Utd Chiba

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Kamatamare Sanuki, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kamatamare Sanuki JEF Utd Chiba

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 4.3

JEF Utd Chiba has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kamatamare Sanuki JEF Utd Chiba

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kamatamare Sanuki ↑ +0.25 (+5.0%)

JEF Utd Chiba ↑ +0.15 (+9.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.