Parceiro Nagano vs Mito Hollyhock

09 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Parceiro Nagano

Mito Hollyhock

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.2% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 65.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.0% 7.33 DRAW 21.1% 4.50 AWAY 65.9% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mito Hollyhock

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parceiro Nagano Mito Hollyhock

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Mito Hollyhock, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parceiro Nagano Mito Hollyhock

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parceiro Nagano Mito Hollyhock

The combined recent performance profile favours Mito Hollyhock.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Parceiro Nagano ↑ +0.33 (+4.7%)

Mito Hollyhock ↑ +0.09 (+6.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.