Fukushima Utd vs Vegalta Sendai

09 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Fukushima Utd

Vegalta Sendai

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.1% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 57.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.4% 5.08 DRAW 22.8% 4.10 AWAY 58.7% 1.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fukushima Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fukushima Utd Vegalta Sendai

Shots 13.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fukushima Utd Vegalta Sendai

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fukushima Utd Vegalta Sendai

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Fukushima Utd ↑ +0.08 (+1.6%)

Vegalta Sendai ↑ +0.13 (+8.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.