Japan J-League Cup · JP

Thespa Gunma vs Albirex Niigata

02 Sep 2026 · 12:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Away Lean

Home 14.0%

Draw 19.0%

Away 67.0%

Consensus based on 4 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 47.9 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Thespa Gunma Albirex Niigata

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Thespa Gunma Albirex Niigata

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Albirex Niigata has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Thespa Gunma Albirex Niigata

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Thespa Gunma ↓ -0.69 (-8.6%)

Albirex Niigata ↑ +0.11 (+8.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -0.670

Shot rating -11

Shots-on-target rating -9

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.