FC Thun U19 vs Winterthur U19

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

FC Thun U19

Winterthur U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.0% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 62.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.7% 4.75 DRAW 19.7% 4.75 AWAY 60.6% 1.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Winterthur U19

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Thun U19 Winterthur U19

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Winterthur U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Thun U19 Winterthur U19

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Thun U19 Winterthur U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Winterthur U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Thun U19 ↑ +0.41 (+9.5%)

Winterthur U19 ↑ +0.06 (+4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.