Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prague

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Sigma Olomouc

Sparta Prague

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 47.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.5% 3.25 DRAW 25.5% 3.75 AWAY 45.0% 2.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sparta Prague

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sigma Olomouc Sparta Prague

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 17.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Sparta Prague, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sigma Olomouc Sparta Prague

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sigma Olomouc Sparta Prague

The combined recent performance profile favours Sparta Prague.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sigma Olomouc ↑ +0.38 (+13.2%)

Sparta Prague ↓ -0.25 (-10.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.