Banik Ostrava vs Pardubice

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Banik Ostrava

Pardubice

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.9% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 23.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% 2.02 DRAW 26.8% 3.60 AWAY 25.5% 3.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Banik Ostrava relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.9% win probability, compared with 47.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Banik Ostrava

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Banik Ostrava Pardubice

Shots 17.0 · On target 8.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Banik Ostrava, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Banik Ostrava Pardubice

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Pardubice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Banik Ostrava Pardubice

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Banik Ostrava ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Pardubice ↑ +0.28 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.