Atletico Cali FC vs Tigres FC

22 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Atletico Cali FC

Tigres FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% DRAW 32.1% AWAY 35.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% 2.86 DRAW 31.6% 3.00 AWAY 35.2% 2.69

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Cali FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Cali FC Tigres FC

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Cali FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Cali FC Tigres FC

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Tigres FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Cali FC Tigres FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Atletico Cali FC ↑ +0.51 (+21.7%)

Tigres FC ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.