Barranquilla FC vs Independiente Yumbo

16 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Barranquilla FC

Independiente Yumbo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 37.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.3% 2.64 DRAW 29.1% 3.20 AWAY 35.7% 2.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Barranquilla FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barranquilla FC Independiente Yumbo

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Barranquilla FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barranquilla FC Independiente Yumbo

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Independiente Yumbo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barranquilla FC Independiente Yumbo

The combined recent performance profile favours Independiente Yumbo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Barranquilla FC ↓ -0.35 (-11.7%)

Independiente Yumbo ↑ +0.09 (+3.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.