Orsomarso vs Atletico Cali FC

15 Sep 2026 · 00:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.0 pp

Orsomarso

Atletico Cali FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.1% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 15.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.1% 1.73 DRAW 27.2% 3.44 AWAY 18.7% 5.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Orsomarso clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.1% win probability, compared with 54.1% implied by the market. The 5.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Orsomarso has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Orsomarso Atletico Cali FC

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Orsomarso Atletico Cali FC

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Orsomarso has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Orsomarso Atletico Cali FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Orsomarso.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Orsomarso ↓ -0.03 (-1.7%)

Atletico Cali FC ↑ +0.67 (+15.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.