Patriotas FC vs Tigres FC

07 Sep 2026 · 03:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Patriotas FC

Tigres FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.5% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 20.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% 1.68 DRAW 26.3% 3.54 AWAY 18.5% 5.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Tigres FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Patriotas FC Tigres FC

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Patriotas FC Tigres FC

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Tigres FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Patriotas FC Tigres FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Tigres FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Patriotas FC ↑ +0.10 (+6.6%)

Tigres FC ↓ -0.55 (-9.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.