Boca Juniors De Cali vs Envigado FC

06 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Boca Juniors De Cali

Envigado FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 40.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.2% 3.41 DRAW 30.1% 3.20 AWAY 41.7% 2.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Boca Juniors De Cali

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boca Juniors De Cali Envigado FC

Shots 13.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Boca Juniors De Cali, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boca Juniors De Cali Envigado FC

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Envigado FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boca Juniors De Cali Envigado FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Boca Juniors De Cali.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Boca Juniors De Cali ↑ +0.31 (+10.0%)

Envigado FC ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.