Betim FC U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.7 pp

Betim FC U20

Athletic Club MG U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 49.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.6% 3.70 DRAW 27.4% 3.60 AWAY 46.0% 2.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Athletic Club MG U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.8% win probability, compared with 46.0% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Athletic Club MG U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Betim FC U20 Athletic Club MG U20

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Betim FC U20 Athletic Club MG U20

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Athletic Club MG U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Betim FC U20 Athletic Club MG U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Athletic Club MG U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Betim FC U20 = (0.0%)

Athletic Club MG U20 ↑ +0.32 (+17.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.