Tigres FC vs Bogota FC

14 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Tigres FC

Bogota FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.8% DRAW 31.3% AWAY 27.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.40 DRAW 31.1% 3.02 AWAY 29.9% 3.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bogota FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tigres FC Bogota FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tigres FC Bogota FC

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Tigres FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tigres FC Bogota FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Tigres FC ↑ +0.55 (+29.7%)

Bogota FC ↓ -1.06 (-25.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.