FC Zurich (W) vs Young Boys (W)

09 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

FC Zurich (W)

Young Boys (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 23.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.0% 1.87 DRAW 23.4% 4.00 AWAY 26.7% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FC Zurich (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.4% win probability, compared with 50.0% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Zurich (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Zurich (W) Young Boys (W)

Shots 11.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Zurich (W) Young Boys (W)

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.5

FC Zurich (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Zurich (W) Young Boys (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Zurich (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Zurich (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.6%)

Young Boys (W) ↑ +0.17 (+5.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.