Basel (W) vs Grasshopper (W)

09 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Basel (W)

Grasshopper (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 29.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% 2.20 DRAW 26.8% 3.60 AWAY 29.3% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Basel (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Basel (W) Grasshopper (W)

Shots 14.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Basel (W) Grasshopper (W)

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Grasshopper (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Basel (W) Grasshopper (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Basel (W) ↑ +0.36 (+19.6%)

Grasshopper (W) ↓ -0.33 (-9.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.