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Brazil Campeonato Carioca U20 · BR

Marica RJ U20 vs Volta Redonda U20

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00
STRONG EDGE HOME +10.1 pp
Marica RJ U20
Volta Redonda U20
HOME 55.4% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 18.2%
HOME 45.3% 2.14 DRAW 28.5% 3.40 AWAY 26.2% 3.70

StochasticBet rates Marica RJ U20 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.4% win probability, compared with 45.3% implied by the market. The 10.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Marica RJ U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Marica RJ U20 Volta Redonda U20
Shots 14.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Marica RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Marica RJ U20 Volta Redonda U20
Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 29.0 · On target allowed 11.5

Marica RJ U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Marica RJ U20 Volta Redonda U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Marica RJ U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Marica RJ U20 ↑ +0.34 (+18.9%)
Volta Redonda U20 ↓ -0.20 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.