Marica RJ U20 vs Madureira RJ U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Marica RJ U20

Madureira RJ U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.8% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 42.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% 3.50 DRAW 28.2% 3.46 AWAY 43.9% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Marica RJ U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Marica RJ U20 Madureira RJ U20

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Marica RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Marica RJ U20 Madureira RJ U20

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Madureira RJ U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Marica RJ U20 Madureira RJ U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Marica RJ U20 ↓ -0.78 (-18.2%)

Madureira RJ U20 ↑ +0.47 (+26.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.