Boavista RJ U20 vs Nova Iguacu U20

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Boavista RJ U20

Nova Iguacu U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 31.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.30 DRAW 27.8% 3.34 AWAY 31.9% 2.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Boavista RJ U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boavista RJ U20 Nova Iguacu U20

Shots 16.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Boavista RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boavista RJ U20 Nova Iguacu U20

Shots allowed 19.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Nova Iguacu U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boavista RJ U20 Nova Iguacu U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Boavista RJ U20 ↓ -0.65 (-22.0%)

Nova Iguacu U20 ↑ +0.41 (+16.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.